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Red375
287985.1
4536116.0
363078.4
Blue307
284685.7
543493.0
642470.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102450100200400500600375307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.00.2
117.3117.1
Auto15.1
Teleop50.7
End50.1
red by 23.0
93.01.5
90.191.6
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End46.8
Second
2879
#17
85.10.3
87.086.7
Auto9.2
Teleop41.0
End34.9
blue by 0.6
2846
#15
85.71.5
82.984.4
Auto8.5
Teleop45.6
End31.6
Third
3630
#11
78.40.3
80.580.2
Auto3.5
Teleop43.4
End31.5
red by 7.7
6424
#28
70.71.5
67.969.3
Auto7.9
Teleop33.2
End29.6