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Red317
420789.7
5172115.7
250998.7
Blue292
250265.0
387175.0
460758.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3461770100300400500600317292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.70.2
116.3116.6
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
red by 40.7
75.03.5
71.575.0
Auto9.4
Teleop38.0
End27.7
Second
2509
#16
98.70.2
99.299.5
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End47.7
red by 33.6
2502
#27
65.02.3
62.865.0
Auto9.0
Teleop38.5
End17.5
Third
4207
#39
89.70.3
90.690.9
Auto12.4
Teleop39.0
End38.2
red by 31.5
4607
#52
58.22.3
55.958.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.7
End21.4