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Red264
420789.7
5172115.7
250998.7
Blue192
250265.0
387175.0
460758.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3571680100200300400500600264192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.71.1
118.6117.5
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
red by 40.7
75.00.3
68.769.0
Auto9.4
Teleop38.0
End27.7
Second
2509
#16
98.71.1
101.5100.4
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End47.7
red by 33.6
2502
#27
65.00.2
61.061.2
Auto9.0
Teleop38.5
End17.5
Third
4207
#39
89.71.6
93.992.3
Auto12.4
Teleop39.0
End38.2
red by 31.5
4607
#52
58.20.2
54.254.3
Auto10.1
Teleop26.7
End21.4