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Red306
420789.7
5172115.7
250998.7
Blue205
363078.4
4536116.0
287985.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32829905001,0001,5002,000306205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.70.0
116.7116.7
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
blue by 0.3
116.01.8
117.8116.0
Auto15.1
Teleop50.7
End50.1
Second
2509
#16
98.70.0
99.699.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End47.7
red by 13.6
2879
#17
85.12.6
87.785.1
Auto9.2
Teleop41.0
End34.9
Third
4207
#39
89.70.0
91.191.0
Auto12.4
Teleop39.0
End38.2
red by 11.3
3630
#11
78.42.8
81.378.4
Auto3.5
Teleop43.4
End31.5