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Red216
282384.1
318493.3
327876.1
Blue305
329982.6
419899.2
218180.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279269100200400500600216305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.31.1
96.295.1
Auto11.3
Teleop46.3
End35.7
blue by 5.9
99.21.1
97.898.9
Auto7.1
Teleop40.1
End52.0
Second
2823
#19
84.11.1
87.085.9
Auto12.6
Teleop29.8
End41.7
red by 1.5
3299
#25
82.61.6
80.582.1
Auto9.2
Teleop37.0
End36.4
Third
3278
#34
76.11.6
80.578.9
Auto10.7
Teleop37.3
End28.0
blue by 4.5
2181
#21
80.61.7
78.380.0
Auto7.2
Teleop40.4
End32.9