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Red180
282384.1
318493.3
327876.1
Blue300
329982.6
419899.2
218180.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274275100150200250300350400450500180300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.31.8
95.193.3
Auto11.3
Teleop46.3
End35.7
blue by 5.9
99.20.9
98.999.7
Auto7.1
Teleop40.1
End52.0
Second
2823
#19
84.11.8
85.984.1
Auto12.6
Teleop29.8
End41.7
red by 1.5
3299
#25
82.61.3
82.183.3
Auto9.2
Teleop37.0
End36.4
Third
3278
#34
76.12.8
78.976.1
Auto10.7
Teleop37.3
End28.0
blue by 4.5
2181
#21
80.61.4
80.081.3
Auto7.2
Teleop40.4
End32.9