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Red255
218180.6
419899.2
329982.6
Blue215
300788.8
670968.0
251874.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722390100200300400500255215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.20.0
97.297.2
Auto7.1
Teleop40.1
End52.0
red by 10.5
3007
#20
88.80.6
88.888.2
Auto10.8
Teleop41.5
End36.4
Second
3299
#25
82.60.0
79.679.6
Auto9.2
Teleop37.0
End36.4
red by 8.3
2518
#14
74.30.4
74.474.0
Auto5.8
Teleop33.4
End35.1
Third
2181
#21
80.60.0
77.377.4
Auto7.2
Teleop40.4
End32.9
red by 12.5
68.00.6
68.167.5
Auto5.2
Teleop21.9
End41.0