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Red313
420789.7
5172115.7
250998.7
Blue395
363078.4
4536116.0
287985.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314316250300350400313395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.70.1
116.6116.7
Auto13.4
Teleop52.3
End50.1
blue by 0.3
116.00.1
118.5118.6
Auto15.1
Teleop50.7
End50.1
Second
2509
#16
98.70.1
99.599.6
Auto13.1
Teleop37.9
End47.7
red by 13.6
2879
#17
85.10.2
88.788.8
Auto9.2
Teleop41.0
End34.9
Third
4207
#39
89.70.2
90.991.1
Auto12.4
Teleop39.0
End38.2
red by 11.3
3630
#11
78.40.2
82.382.5
Auto3.5
Teleop43.4
End31.5