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Red255
363365.8
419871.5
212941.2
Blue257
318479.6
384075.3
302669.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17924404006008001,0001,200255257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
Unranked
71.50.0
71.571.5
Auto4.2
Teleop42.9
End24.3
blue by 8.1
3184
Unranked
79.60.0
79.679.6
Auto6.9
Teleop39.6
End33.1
Second
3633
Unranked
65.80.0
65.865.8
Auto7.6
Teleop34.2
End24.0
blue by 9.5
3840
Unranked
75.30.0
75.375.3
Auto7.8
Teleop35.9
End31.6
Third
2129
Unranked
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto2.9
Teleop25.6
End12.7
blue by 27.9
3026
Unranked
69.10.0
69.169.1
Auto7.4
Teleop39.5
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds