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Red255
423961.6
216997.7
257495.9
Blue270
384872.2
4536101.3
569087.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272271200250300350255270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
Unranked
97.70.0
97.797.7
Auto8.5
Teleop45.9
End43.2
blue by 3.6
4536
Unranked
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto9.6
Teleop48.6
End43.0
Second
2574
Unranked
95.90.0
95.995.9
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End39.4
red by 8.9
5690
Unranked
87.00.0
87.087.0
Auto11.5
Teleop42.9
End32.5
Third
4239
Unranked
61.60.0
61.661.6
Auto13.9
Teleop30.1
End17.6
blue by 10.6
3848
Unranked
72.20.0
72.272.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.5
End29.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds