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Red200
250086.6
217584.5
421536.8
Blue85
257495.9
302368.7
285544.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17825104006008001,0001,20020085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.61.4
79.180.5
Auto9.8
Teleop40.1
End36.7
blue by 9.3
2574
#21
95.99.6
105.996.3
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End39.4
Second
2175
#13
84.51.4
64.265.6
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7
red by 15.8
3023
#24
68.79.6
69.159.5
Auto11.2
Teleop26.8
End30.7
Third
36.81.4
35.236.7
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End5.1
blue by 8.1
2855
#35
44.99.6
54.644.9
Auto3.7
Teleop27.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed