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Red197
308162.5
324493.4
340750.8
Blue205
448057.6
253230.0
217763.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2551580100200300400500197205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#20
93.45.5
94.388.8
Auto11.5
Teleop46.8
End35.1
red by 29.7
63.70.5
65.464.9
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End29.1
Second
3081
#22
62.55.5
74.569.0
Auto5.0
Teleop33.6
End23.9
red by 4.9
4480
#30
57.60.5
70.469.9
Auto4.2
Teleop35.2
End18.2
Third
3407
#26
50.86.8
61.354.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.9
End17.7
red by 20.8
2532
#18
30.00.5
26.926.3
Auto3.5
Teleop25.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed