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Red255
284693.0
485980.4
324493.4
Blue356
217584.5
205289.7
313094.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285281200220240260300320340360255356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#20
93.40.2
92.392.1
Auto11.5
Teleop46.8
End35.1
blue by 1.2
94.61.0
92.093.0
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End48.1
Second
93.00.2
91.891.6
Auto11.8
Teleop42.3
End38.9
red by 3.2
2052
#14
89.71.0
87.288.2
Auto8.4
Teleop41.4
End39.8
Third
4859
#28
80.40.2
79.379.1
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
blue by 4.0
2175
#13
84.51.0
82.083.0
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7