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Red395
324493.4
485980.4
284693.0
Blue333
217584.5
205289.7
313094.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286283200250300350395333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#20
93.40.7
92.192.8
Auto11.5
Teleop46.8
End35.1
blue by 1.2
94.61.5
93.094.6
Auto7.0
Teleop39.5
End48.1
Second
93.00.7
91.692.4
Auto11.8
Teleop42.3
End38.9
red by 3.2
2052
#14
89.71.5
88.289.7
Auto8.4
Teleop41.4
End39.8
Third
4859
#28
80.40.7
79.179.8
Auto7.2
Teleop39.7
End33.5
blue by 4.0
2175
#13
84.51.5
83.084.5
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End31.7