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Red285
460781.0
217763.7
249185.5
Blue295
517293.4
250086.6
4536101.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263020100400500600700800285295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.51.4
82.884.2
Auto8.4
Teleop45.7
End31.3
blue by 15.8
4536
#12
101.30.1
98.598.4
Auto9.6
Teleop48.6
End43.0
Second
4607
#27
81.01.4
78.379.7
Auto9.0
Teleop39.6
End32.4
blue by 12.4
5172
#16
93.40.1
90.690.6
Auto12.1
Teleop48.8
End32.6
Third
63.71.4
61.062.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End29.1
blue by 22.9
86.60.1
83.983.8
Auto9.8
Teleop40.1
End36.7