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Red392
172381.4
3528118.3
1986119.3
Blue215
177590.6
234576.5
501375.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343247100200300400500392215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.31.1
116.4117.4
Auto26.9
Teleop43.6
End48.8
red by 28.6
1775
#17
90.60.7
92.091.3
Auto9.2
Teleop38.5
End42.9
Second
118.31.1
115.4116.5
Auto18.3
Teleop48.8
End51.2
red by 41.8
2345
#13
76.51.0
78.377.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End34.6
Third
1723
#40
81.41.1
78.579.6
Auto8.8
Teleop39.6
End33.0
red by 6.2
5013
#32
75.21.0
77.076.1
Auto11.1
Teleop33.7
End30.4