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Red377
172381.4
3528118.3
1986119.3
Blue418
62496.5
198791.8
5801100.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345287100200400500377418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.31.0
118.6119.6
Auto26.9
Teleop43.6
End48.8
red by 18.3
5801
#31
100.91.1
97.698.7
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End44.4
Second
118.31.0
117.6118.6
Auto18.3
Teleop48.8
End51.2
red by 21.9
624
#11
96.50.8
94.094.8
Auto15.5
Teleop49.4
End31.5
Third
1723
#40
81.41.0
80.781.8
Auto8.8
Teleop39.6
End33.0
blue by 10.4
91.81.1
88.589.6
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End30.9