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Red205
256063.1
1730111.5
241076.0
Blue316
171090.3
495990.1
93593.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265295200350400450500205316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.51.5
113.0111.5
Auto16.5
Teleop47.5
End47.5
red by 18.2
935
#14
93.30.7
93.994.6
Auto9.0
Teleop33.9
End50.5
Second
2410
#12
76.01.5
77.576.0
Auto8.4
Teleop42.8
End24.9
blue by 14.4
1710
#21
90.30.9
91.192.0
Auto7.9
Teleop45.8
End36.7
Third
2560
#51
63.11.5
64.663.1
Auto9.4
Teleop37.0
End16.7
blue by 27.0
4959
#10
90.10.9
90.891.7
Auto11.3
Teleop42.1
End36.7