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Red260
596860.5
1997103.6
216498.1
Blue255
526865.6
1810103.0
654289.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261268150200300350400260255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.60.2
98.698.8
Auto13.5
Teleop41.9
End48.2
red by 0.6
103.00.1
101.6101.7
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End45.3
Second
98.10.1
94.394.4
Auto8.5
Teleop50.2
End39.4
red by 9.1
6542
#16
89.00.0
87.687.6
Auto10.4
Teleop33.6
End45.1
Third
5968
#42
60.50.2
55.555.7
Auto8.4
Teleop27.2
End24.9
blue by 5.0
5268
#48
65.60.0
64.164.2
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End26.4