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Red308
53770.5
1732111.4
170691.7
Blue135
128873.9
193975.7
64866.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298225100200400500308135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.40.4
111.0111.4
Auto14.8
Teleop55.8
End40.8
red by 35.7
1939
#11
75.72.4
78.175.7
Auto12.1
Teleop35.6
End28.0
Second
91.70.4
91.291.7
Auto13.4
Teleop35.2
End43.1
red by 17.7
1288
#25
73.92.4
76.373.9
Auto6.6
Teleop42.2
End25.2
Third
537
#36
70.50.4
70.170.5
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End34.2
red by 3.9
648
#14
66.62.4
69.066.6
Auto8.1
Teleop21.3
End37.3