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Red310
53770.5
1732111.4
170691.7
Blue215
128873.9
193975.7
3468.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972250100200400500310215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.40.4
110.6111.0
Auto14.8
Teleop55.8
End40.8
red by 35.7
1939
#11
75.70.2
78.378.1
Auto12.1
Teleop35.6
End28.0
Second
91.70.4
90.991.2
Auto13.4
Teleop35.2
End43.1
red by 17.7
1288
#25
73.90.2
76.676.3
Auto6.6
Teleop42.2
End25.2
Third
537
#36
70.50.4
69.770.1
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End34.2
red by 2.4
34
#21
68.10.2
68.468.1
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End24.1