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Quarterfinal 4-22017 St. Louis Regional
Red305
514771.7
328492.0
414395.1
Blue185
117877.8
93280.3
109459.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281227100200400500305185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#5
95.11.2
95.2→96.4
Auto7.5
Teleop47.7
End39.9
red by 14.8
932
#10
80.32.0
82.3→80.3
Auto7.2
Teleop38.1
End35.0
Second
3284
#4
92.01.2
92.1→93.3
Auto14.3
Teleop42.0
End35.7
red by 14.1
1178
#30
77.81.9
79.7→77.8
Auto13.7
Teleop32.5
End31.6
Third
5147
#24
71.71.2
71.8→73.1
Auto6.9
Teleop37.7
End27.1
red by 12.5
1094
#38
59.31.9
61.1→59.3
Auto7.4
Teleop33.7
End18.2