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Red210
240841.5
424682.7
517659.4
Blue137
198586.8
379238.4
423245.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158179050100200250300350400210137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.76.3
55.361.6
Auto11.9
Teleop34.4
End36.4
blue by 4.1
1985
#19
86.83.4
64.561.2
Auto6.7
Teleop36.6
End43.6
Second
5176
#37
59.46.3
53.359.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.2
End21.6
red by 14.4
4232
#39
45.13.4
48.144.7
Auto6.6
Teleop17.8
End20.6
Third
2408
#47
41.56.3
44.951.1
Auto4.7
Teleop25.3
End11.5
red by 3.1
3792
#32
38.43.4
54.651.3
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed