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Red145
666035.5
339727.5
193975.7
Blue175
460060.4
418784.4
639139.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163139050100200250300350145175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#11
75.70.7
67.666.9
Auto12.1
Teleop35.6
End28.0
blue by 8.7
84.41.0
54.155.1
Auto8.9
Teleop41.2
End34.3
Second
6660
#48
35.50.7
44.243.5
Auto7.0
Teleop26.9
End1.6
blue by 24.9
4600
#40
60.41.0
39.040.0
Auto5.0
Teleop43.1
End12.3
Third
3397
#51
27.50.7
39.638.9
Auto2.9
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 12.3
6391
#45
39.91.0
42.743.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End-2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed