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Red458
272104.3
4750111.7
365123.6
Blue242
589599.2
1676111.4
331491.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397356100200300500600458242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#11
123.60.3
124.8125.1
Auto18.0
Teleop54.2
End51.4
red by 12.1
111.41.4
112.9111.4
Auto14.8
Teleop54.9
End41.8
Second
111.70.3
112.9113.2
Auto11.1
Teleop47.7
End52.9
red by 12.4
5895
#21
99.21.4
100.699.2
Auto17.5
Teleop42.9
End38.8
Third
272
#16
104.30.3
105.5105.8
Auto9.2
Teleop48.2
End46.9
red by 13.1
3314
#44
91.21.4
92.691.2
Auto17.4
Teleop46.3
End27.5