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Red460
3929108.5
1807105.7
2590111.0
Blue452
219110.4
203105.4
164098.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356373200250300400450500460452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
111.01.2
104.4105.6
Auto14.2
Teleop64.7
End32.1
red by 0.6
219
#39
110.40.8
110.6111.4
Auto13.9
Teleop49.2
End47.4
Second
3929
#32
108.51.2
101.9103.1
Auto12.2
Teleop47.1
End49.2
red by 3.1
203
#7
105.40.8
105.6106.4
Auto12.9
Teleop51.8
End40.8
Third
105.71.2
99.2100.4
Auto11.0
Teleop45.1
End49.6
red by 7.5
1640
#34
98.20.8
98.499.2
Auto8.4
Teleop50.1
End39.7