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Red262
36479.5
3039105.8
2992102.5
Blue285
399180.5
191274.5
408763.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31621604006008001,0001,200262285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
red by 25.3
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
Second
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
red by 27.9
1912
#10
74.50.0
74.574.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.3
End40.9
Third
364
#4
79.50.0
79.579.5
Auto7.8
Teleop36.3
End35.3
red by 16.3
63.20.0
63.263.2
Auto5.4
Teleop34.1
End23.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds