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Red165
142183.6
208081.7
433657.8
Blue185
333762.5
595362.3
456109.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2332480400600800165185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#11
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto6.8
Teleop31.4
End45.5
blue by 25.4
456
#2
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto12.9
Teleop43.0
End53.0
Second
81.70.0
81.781.7
Auto3.2
Teleop34.5
End44.0
red by 19.2
3337
#12
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
Third
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
blue by 4.5
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto7.9
Teleop31.1
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds