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Red242
1323B100.3
630574.4
5012B75.7
Blue115
665739.3
971C57.3
349574.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2441400100200300400500600242115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.31.5
91.593.0
Auto16.1
Teleop48.2
End35.9
red by 26.0
3495
#43
74.23.7
64.260.5
Auto7.8
Teleop32.4
End34.0
Second
75.72.6
64.166.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.8
End34.1
red by 18.4
971C
#38
57.36.2
41.935.7
Auto3.2
Teleop31.2
End22.9
Third
6305
#22
74.41.5
63.364.8
Auto6.2
Teleop32.9
End35.3
red by 35.1
6657
#29
39.33.7
39.836.1
Auto2.0
Teleop22.7
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
5%Pressure oddsEarned3%Pressure oddsMissed