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Qual 452017 MadTown Throwdown
Red215
167189.3
425569.3
581783.3
Blue235
213589.3
594090.6
207397.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322660400600800215235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#18
89.30.6
80.8→80.2
Auto12.4
Teleop42.9
End34.0
blue by 7.8
2073
#3
97.20.9
89.8→88.9
Auto15.7
Teleop44.5
End37.0
Second
5817
#14
83.30.6
81.4→80.8
Auto13.3
Teleop38.7
End31.3
blue by 7.2
5940
#9
90.60.9
80.2→79.3
Auto7.3
Teleop36.4
End46.9
Third
4255
#28
69.30.6
62.3→61.6
Auto8.5
Teleop33.8
End27.0
blue by 20.0
2135
#27
89.30.9
78.7→77.8
Auto10.8
Teleop42.1
End36.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed