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Quarterfinal 2-32017 Toluca Regional
Red195
335446.2
660654.3
379439.9
Blue165
458444.2
571654.8
473555.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471650100200300400500195165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6606
#6
54.31.4
54.8→56.3
Auto7.8
Teleop27.8
End18.7
blue by 1.5
4735
#23
55.90.3
55.5→55.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End22.3
Second
3354
#19
46.21.4
46.7→48.1
Auto5.8
Teleop28.3
End12.1
blue by 8.6
5716
#7
54.80.3
54.5→54.8
Auto12.1
Teleop23.5
End19.2
Third
3794
#16
39.91.4
40.4→41.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End21.2
blue by 4.3
4584
#9
44.20.3
43.9→44.2
Auto7.8
Teleop30.0
End6.4