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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Toluca Regional
Red235
617039.7
440148.4
393345.8
Blue145
437142.7
634839.9
351027.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14389050200250300350400235145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#3
48.42.9
46.5→49.4
Auto5.5
Teleop33.1
End9.9
red by 5.7
4371
#12
42.71.6
34.5→36.1
Auto5.9
Teleop21.6
End15.2
Second
3933
#4
45.82.9
43.8→46.8
Auto4.1
Teleop34.7
End7.0
red by 5.9
6348
#11
39.91.6
31.7→33.3
Auto8.5
Teleop21.8
End9.7
Third
6170
#14
39.72.9
37.7→40.6
Auto3.8
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 12.4
3510
#15
27.31.4
25.9→27.3
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End-3.5