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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Toluca Regional
Red145
617039.7
440148.4
393345.8
Blue215
437142.7
634839.9
513333.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15393050200250300350400145215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.2
49.449.6
Auto5.5
Teleop33.1
End9.9
red by 5.7
4371
#12
42.73.5
36.139.6
Auto5.9
Teleop21.6
End15.2
Second
45.80.2
46.847.0
Auto4.1
Teleop34.7
End7.0
red by 5.9
6348
#11
39.93.5
33.336.8
Auto8.5
Teleop21.8
End9.7
Third
6170
#14
39.70.2
40.640.9
Auto3.8
Teleop27.4
End8.5
red by 6.5
5133
#17
33.23.2
27.130.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.9
End11.1