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Red100
426247.3
669439.4
604830.5
Blue201
513333.2
228348.0
347882.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129121050100150200250100201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.32.5
46.243.6
Auto4.8
Teleop27.7
End14.8
blue by 34.8
82.18.2
70.378.5
Auto11.7
Teleop41.2
End29.2
Second
6694
#29
39.42.5
43.240.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End15.5
blue by 8.6
2283
#24
48.08.8
29.538.3
Auto8.2
Teleop25.2
End14.6
Third
6048
#21
30.52.5
31.929.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End5.1
blue by 2.7
5133
#17
33.28.2
16.224.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.9
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed