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Red220
593239.2
569659.3
440148.4
Blue115
660732.7
315855.2
594841.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126144050100200250300220115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5696
#18
59.37.0
46.753.7
Auto2.3
Teleop29.0
End28.0
red by 4.1
55.21.8
54.452.6
Auto10.7
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Second
48.47.0
43.350.3
Auto5.5
Teleop33.1
End9.9
red by 7.1
5948
#10
41.41.8
44.542.6
Auto5.0
Teleop22.0
End14.4
Third
5932
#27
39.27.0
32.639.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End14.7
red by 6.5
6607
#25
32.72.0
35.133.1
Auto7.5
Teleop25.7
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed