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Red105
228348.0
588742.8
352740.8
Blue95
379439.9
660654.3
335446.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126157010020030040010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#24
48.00.6
45.244.7
Auto8.2
Teleop25.2
End14.6
blue by 6.3
54.31.3
55.754.3
Auto7.8
Teleop27.8
End18.7
Second
5887
#13
42.80.5
40.440.0
Auto5.6
Teleop23.8
End13.3
blue by 3.4
3354
#19
46.21.3
47.646.2
Auto5.8
Teleop28.3
End12.1
Third
3527
#22
40.80.5
38.237.7
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End14.1
red by 0.9
3794
#16
39.91.3
41.239.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End21.2