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Quarterfinal 1-32017 Toluca Regional
Red165
401039.1
347261.6
347882.1
Blue195
228348.0
588742.8
352740.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2101010300400500165195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#2
82.10.5
82.6→82.1
Auto11.7
Teleop41.2
End29.2
red by 34.0
2283
#24
48.02.5
40.4→42.9
Auto8.2
Teleop25.2
End14.6
Second
3472
#1
61.60.5
62.1→61.6
Auto7.8
Teleop29.9
End23.9
red by 18.8
5887
#13
42.82.1
36.4→38.5
Auto5.6
Teleop23.8
End13.3
Third
4010
#30
39.10.5
39.6→39.1
Auto7.5
Teleop27.0
End4.6
blue by 1.7
3527
#22
40.82.3
33.8→36.1
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End14.1