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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Toluca Regional
Red195
335446.2
660654.3
379439.9
Blue115
458444.2
571654.8
473555.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139163050100200250300350400195115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.31.6
52.554.1
Auto7.8
Teleop27.8
End18.7
blue by 1.5
4735
#23
55.91.1
54.753.6
Auto7.2
Teleop26.3
End22.3
Second
3354
#19
46.21.6
44.446.0
Auto5.8
Teleop28.3
End12.1
blue by 8.6
54.81.0
53.752.7
Auto12.1
Teleop23.5
End19.2
Third
3794
#16
39.91.6
38.039.7
Auto2.9
Teleop15.8
End21.2
blue by 4.3
44.21.0
43.142.1
Auto7.8
Teleop30.0
End6.4