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Red165
437142.7
634839.9
513333.2
Blue260
569659.3
315855.2
472359.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991880300400165260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4371
#12
42.71.7
39.441.2
Auto5.9
Teleop21.6
End15.2
blue by 17.1
4723
#36
59.81.9
57.158.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End29.9
Second
6348
#11
39.91.7
36.638.4
Auto8.5
Teleop21.8
End9.7
blue by 19.4
5696
#18
59.31.9
56.658.4
Auto2.3
Teleop29.0
End28.0
Third
5133
#17
33.21.6
30.231.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.9
End11.1
blue by 22.0
55.21.9
52.554.4
Auto10.7
Teleop34.7
End9.8