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Red195
670247.9
435578.6
440168.3
Blue285
315894.8
348053.3
601762.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188191140160180200220240260280195285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#18
78.61.1
71.172.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.6
End35.4
blue by 16.2
94.86.9
80.287.1
Auto12.5
Teleop41.8
End40.5
Second
4401
#22
68.31.1
69.470.5
Auto7.5
Teleop35.7
End25.1
red by 6.0
62.36.9
52.259.1
Auto7.3
Teleop32.6
End22.4
Third
6702
#27
47.91.4
38.439.8
Auto6.6
Teleop40.6
End0.7
blue by 5.3
3480
#16
53.36.9
48.555.5
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End26.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed