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Red205
460376.7
474640.3
440360.9
Blue165
601020.2
379448.7
595943.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198950300400500600205165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#14
76.70.7
79.680.3
Auto10.2
Teleop41.5
End24.9
red by 28.0
3794
#21
48.72.4
46.348.7
Auto7.9
Teleop31.6
End9.2
Second
4403
#19
60.90.7
55.456.1
Auto4.1
Teleop44.6
End12.1
red by 17.2
5959
#25
43.72.9
40.843.7
Auto3.6
Teleop24.5
End15.6
Third
4746
#28
40.30.9
39.440.3
Auto2.4
Teleop19.2
End18.7
red by 20.1
6010
#35
20.22.9
17.320.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed