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Red255
567958.3
2974111.1
5511103.3
Blue310
493579.5
633489.0
97755.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942260100200400500255310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.10.3
109.8109.5
Auto11.4
Teleop52.5
End47.3
red by 22.1
89.01.4
88.990.2
Auto10.5
Teleop39.9
End38.7
Second
103.30.3
102.0101.7
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End47.2
red by 23.8
79.51.4
79.480.7
Auto9.1
Teleop40.1
End30.3
Third
5679
#14
58.30.3
57.156.8
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End31.2
red by 2.4
977
#18
55.91.4
55.857.1
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8