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Red255
97755.9
633489.0
493579.5
Blue170
122575.0
61978.2
397160.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228227160180200220240260280300255170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.00.9
85.386.3
Auto10.5
Teleop39.9
End38.7
red by 10.9
619
#9
78.21.6
79.878.2
Auto6.8
Teleop32.6
End38.8
Second
79.50.9
75.876.8
Auto9.1
Teleop40.1
End30.3
red by 4.5
1225
#10
75.01.6
76.675.0
Auto8.6
Teleop38.8
End27.6
Third
977
#18
55.90.9
52.253.2
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8
blue by 4.4
3971
#15
60.31.6
62.060.3
Auto3.4
Teleop34.1
End22.9