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Red300
567958.3
2974111.1
5511103.3
Blue256
585458.3
2640100.2
560755.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922100100400500600700300256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.10.8
108.6109.3
Auto11.4
Teleop52.5
End47.3
red by 10.9
2640
#13
100.21.0
99.2100.2
Auto6.9
Teleop42.0
End51.3
Second
103.30.8
100.7101.5
Auto14.7
Teleop41.4
End47.2
red by 45.0
5854
#21
58.31.0
57.358.3
Auto12.1
Teleop47.9
End-1.7
Third
5679
#14
58.30.8
55.856.6
Auto6.0
Teleop21.1
End31.2
red by 3.3
5607
#22
55.11.0
54.155.1
Auto3.9
Teleop29.7
End21.4