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Red300
429089.5
321561.9
2974111.1
Blue215
97755.9
663972.6
476764.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2461450100200300400500300215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111.15.4
101.1106.5
Auto11.4
Teleop52.5
End47.3
red by 38.5
6639
#12
72.64.2
59.263.4
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End34.9
Second
89.55.4
76.982.3
Auto6.9
Teleop35.6
End47.0
red by 25.2
4767
#25
64.34.2
53.757.9
Auto9.7
Teleop33.0
End21.6
Third
3215
#20
61.95.4
41.647.0
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End25.1
red by 5.9
977
#18
55.94.2
38.642.9
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed