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Red365
265570.5
1533108.6
368029.5
Blue310
493579.5
397160.3
122575.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2461680100200300400500600365310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.64.2
113.7109.4
Auto9.9
Teleop50.4
End48.4
red by 29.1
79.52.7
55.057.6
Auto9.1
Teleop40.1
End30.3
Second
2655
#17
70.54.2
74.970.6
Auto9.2
Teleop27.9
End33.4
blue by 4.5
1225
#10
75.02.7
66.369.0
Auto8.6
Teleop38.8
End27.6
Third
3680
#26
29.54.2
34.930.6
Auto5.9
Teleop26.8
End-3.1
blue by 30.8
3971
#15
60.32.7
48.851.4
Auto3.4
Teleop34.1
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed