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Red215
476764.3
350672.0
663972.6
Blue310
493579.5
633489.0
97755.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229224150200250300215310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6639
#12
72.60.0
74.174.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End34.9
blue by 16.4
89.00.4
86.386.7
Auto10.5
Teleop39.9
End38.7
Second
3506
#11
72.00.0
73.573.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End27.3
blue by 7.5
79.50.4
76.877.2
Auto9.1
Teleop40.1
End30.3
Third
4767
#25
64.30.0
65.765.7
Auto9.7
Teleop33.0
End21.6
red by 8.3
977
#18
55.90.4
53.253.6
Auto7.9
Teleop31.3
End16.8