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Red195
368029.5
429089.5
265570.5
Blue135
340269.1
345978.8
321561.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19423050100150250300350400450195135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.50.1
89.389.4
Auto6.9
Teleop35.6
End47.0
red by 10.7
78.81.7
79.978.2
Auto10.0
Teleop39.3
End29.4
Second
2655
#17
70.50.1
70.370.4
Auto9.2
Teleop27.9
End33.4
red by 1.4
3402
#16
69.11.7
70.268.4
Auto14.9
Teleop39.8
End14.4
Third
3680
#26
29.50.1
29.029.1
Auto5.9
Teleop26.8
End-3.1
blue by 32.3
3215
#20
61.91.7
63.061.2
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End25.1