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Quarterfinal 1-22017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red340
322997.3
4561116.1
90097.0
Blue255
650090.8
672984.7
264092.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343274100200300400500340255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#1
116.10.6
117.6→118.1
Auto10.8
Teleop51.2
End54.0
red by 24.0
2640
#16
92.10.3
92.4→92.1
Auto7.0
Teleop44.1
End41.0
Second
3229
#19
97.30.6
98.8→99.3
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
red by 6.5
6500
#14
90.80.3
91.1→90.8
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End41.1
Third
900
#2
97.00.6
98.5→99.1
Auto16.2
Teleop44.6
End36.2
red by 12.3
6729
#13
84.70.3
85.0→84.7
Auto11.7
Teleop31.5
End41.6