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Semifinal 1-12017 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red298
322997.3
4561116.1
90097.0
Blue304
1533108.0
435107.5
554492.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336335300310320330340350298304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#1
116.10.9
118.1→117.3
Auto10.8
Teleop51.2
End54.0
red by 8.1
1533
#7
108.00.3
111.0→110.7
Auto13.1
Teleop46.5
End48.4
Second
3229
#19
97.30.9
99.3→98.5
Auto13.7
Teleop43.8
End39.7
blue by 10.2
435
#5
107.50.3
110.5→110.2
Auto15.3
Teleop45.4
End46.8
Third
900
#2
97.00.9
99.1→98.2
Auto16.2
Teleop44.6
End36.2
red by 4.3
5544
#20
92.70.3
95.7→95.4
Auto9.3
Teleop48.4
End35.0